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Introduction to Bayesian Thinking
Friday, October 26, 2007
Fun to watch!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AA98PYAKzYo
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A Prediction Contest
Fitting an Exchangeable Model
Fun to watch!
Predicting home run rates
View of an Exchangeable Prior
Illustration of posterior predictive checking
No more loops!
Fitting a Mixture Sampling Model, Part II
Fitting a Mixture Sampling Model
Choosing the scale for a Metropolis RW algorithm
Summarizing a posterior
Learning from selected order statistics
The SIR algorithm
Robust Modeling
Normal approximations to posteriors
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